PC sales are going up again #PostPC

Last night I was researching more details about the latest PC sales figures. Last month I’ve found an interesting article at TechCrunch about it:

 

Reasons about the change are mentioned in the article:

Businesses and consumers alike are again purchasing PCs, and Mac sales are on the rise year-over-year. Businesses in particular are forced to upgrade older PCs now that Windows XP is no longer supported. When purchasing a new PC, the main driver to choose a PC versus a tablet is fairly obvious: If you are creating any type of content regularly, you need a keyboard, a larger screen, and (for most businesses) Microsoft Office.

 

This reminds me on a longer conversation about my prediction for 2014, that their might be a turnaround for PC sales (see number 6).

Let’s see and wait what will happen in Q3, the server side looks promising as cloud computing is continuing its way as Gartner Says Worldwide Server Shipments Market Grew 1.3 Percent in the Second Quarter of 2014 While Revenue Increased 2.8 Percent.

More interesting are the upcoming predictions from Gartner about the next two years.

Android today is the leading OS (see table 2 at Gartner News), but it will increase its striking success in the future. It will be interesting to see if ChromeBooks are adopted from businesses in the near future. Citrix and VMware both have developed agents for ChromeOS to have access to corporate owned environments. Again – exciting times.

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Reshaping End-User Computing #EUC

Being at conferences is always inspiring to me. This week I’ve been to Zurich to speak about IT Workspaces in the future. In preparation of the speech I have found a great visual from Gartner which describes best the changes and forces in the mobile and endpoint computing market of the past, today and in the future:

Mobile and Endpoint Computing Market

 

Source: Gartner “Agenda Overview for Mobile and Endpoint Computing, 2014″ , Published: 2 January 2014 (https://www.gartner.com/doc/2643216/agenda-overview-mobile-endpoint-computing)

 

The visualization shows perfectly the increasing complexity of IT environments, especially when IT organizations are living in an IT-controlled world. The biggest challenge for them is to become a service provider and broker in an mixed environment of personal data and apps. This transformation requires a shift in the architecture, infrastructure and services of an IT organization. Exciting times and challenges :)!

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#VMware #Horizon6 – my 2cents

It was a huge Marketing event April 9th, when VMware announced the next major version of its End-User Computing flagship Horizon. All Marketing activities and channels were focusing on this only live event opened by Sumit Dhawan. More than 20,000 people participated this webcast. The recording can be found here:

Some rumors about the release and its features came back through some blogs like for example BrianMadden.com via Gabe Knuth:

So why is Horizon 6 a significant milestone and timing for VMware?

  1. VMware now offers RDSH and full app publishing support. This is a real offensive against their competitor Citrix with their flagships XenApp & XenDesktop. RDSH and app publishing was always a thread, now VMware has an answer and a viable alternative product.
  2. Virtual SAN is a game changer in ways of storage, hopefully it is getting cheaper and easier to address. Duncan Epping wrote an inspiring FUD it! post in his blog about it, which is all about the customers view. Please have a look.
  3. VMware Horizon comes with an aggressive pricing (added 04-23: please check the official Pricing, Packaging and Licensing white paper for deeper information):
    • Horizon View Standard will be $250 per CCU
    • Horizon Advanced will be $250 per named user or $400 per CCU
    • Horizon Enterprise which adds the plug-ins for vCenter Ops Management and vCO will be $300 per named user or $500 per CCU
  4. Exciting times for VMware if you think beyond End-User Computing and the acquisition of AirWatch. Last year, VMware really lacked in their End-User Computing strategy with lots of threads from different competitors. With a mobile-first, cloud-first strategy like Microsoft, VMware is now armed with a very scalable solution build for the cloud. I am pretty sure there is more to come in the future building the bridge between mobile endpoints and cloud solutions, like an AirWatch integration into Horizon.
  5. VMware and Google partnership will drive the way to a corporate desktop for a mobile cloud era. This partnership shows the potential path of corporate desktops and the importance of ChromeBooks in the near future.

My 2cents for this release. Different thoughts, feedback? Please let me know…

Patrick

P.S.: Also check out the additional resources from VMware officials:

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#Scrum: The journey to a life changer?!

It was great to get the chance to be part of the agile transformation of our production team. We’ve started with this transition last year and it is great to be part of it. We have been coached by Boris Kneisel, who is an external scrum coach. He is an excellent coach to adapt agility for development teams and guide them through a transition.

In the first sprints when we tried to adapt the methodologies into our daily work it pretty felt just like this picture:

(Picture from Flickr under Creative Commons: https://farm9.staticflickr.com/8121/8659643962_493899cb9f_o.jpg)

Team – here is the handcar – just jump on the bandwagon and get it move forward.

In those early days there have been a lot of confusion, questions, different roles and uncertainty. But over the days the team found a way just to get things done within the scrum process. We have found a great way to improve ourselves every day and perform better.

Right now we are still at the beginning, so our current status after four sprints (one sprint is just one week) looks a little bit more like this:

(Picture from Flickr under Creative Commons: https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7003/6461721441_c168bd15fc_b.jpg)

We have delivered the committed workload just in time twice, and the sprint goal, too. So we are still in the beginning of our agile journey and the transition just started. It is great to see each team member in his role trying to adapt the process and delivering value in each and every sprint. Even more quiet team members are now involving themselves into scrum activities and meetings.

I believe the vision is clear. We are performing and getting better every day, and the bandwagon will evolve over time into a well-engineered German vehicle – to correspond with the pictures before I have chosen an ICE train:

ICE Frankfurt

(Picture from Flickr under Creative Commons: https://farm1.staticflickr.com/85/240094193_51b5d9afce_o.jpg)

There is still a longer way to go, but I am not afraid of it. Since the introduction of Scrum and agile methodologies I have changed the way of my work and how to deliver better results and more value to the company. And to my surprise, it feels much more productive what I have done so far. There have been various changes to more “old school” styles like writing sticky notes and less technology. And it feels good thinking outside this box, less digital, but more down to earth and grounded. There are a lot of little helpers each and every day, the same with methodologies to be more productive. But Scrum really helped me to focus more on things, that really matter and deliver a better result. So for me I can say Scum is like a life changer. But I am trying to adapt it every day. And this is just the beginning. Boris taught us a nice concept to self-reflect which is common in martial arts: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shuhari

ShuHaRi

So far I am at the Shu level, trying to adapt fundamentals, techniques, heuristics and as much as possible – enjoying this time to learn and evolve.

Scrum literature which is available online or at your favorite bookstore really helps to evolve every day. My resources right now:

Feedback? Comments? Please share your thoughts.

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2014 predictions from @VMware_UK

First of all I wish everyone a Happy New Year! Today VMware UK mentioned me in a tweet:

I am very happy about the fact VMware has chosen my latest blogpost about “My Top 7 IT Trends for 2014 from an end-user computing view” to summarize it much better :):

Mobility is still the top driver from an end users’ perspective. Device and app fragmentation will continue to grow in 2014, hence why I think enterprise mobility should be the number one focus for IT in the coming months. This includes Mobile Device Management (MDM), Mobile Application Management (MAM) and Mobile Content Management (MCM), which leads into Enterprise Mobility Management (EMM). As the market for EMM continues to grow I predict we will see more market consolidation in 2014.

Mobility is also a driver for desktop virtualization, because of the installed base of Microsoft applications within the enterprise. So I believe there will be further releases of virtual desktop software to fulfil the need to bring business critical software to mobile smart devices, and we may see growing hype around DaaS (Desktop as a Service).

As for devices, despite the PC no longer being dominant, I believe that we will see a reversal in the direction of PC sales in 2014, after its recent decline. Once this is solved we will see a constant growth in the PC market. As Enterprise Mobility and DaaS put high pressure on enterprise IT to become more transparent to their services, I think that this will drive momentum for  ITaaS (IT as a Service) and workspace aggregation which will include the shift to new cloud services like SaaS.

I received very valuable feedback about my initial post and I like to thank @jsirota especially for the one about PC sales:

Changed my view again, think PC sales will continue to decrease in 2014 ;).

Thank you very much for supporting me, especially VMware UK, Brands2Life, Ryan and Luke Davies for making this happen – THANK YOU!

Feedback, ideas, comments? Please let me know.

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My Top 7 IT Trends for 2014 from an end-user computing view

2014

(Picture: http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8378/8358208394_63d8cc1a35_o.jpg by artisrams under creative commons)

Usually I am just reading in several blog posts or articles about IT trends, but this year VMware asked to write some of my predictions – so here we go. Instead of writing about all IT trends I will try to focus on end-user computing and enterprise IT.

  1. Mobility is still the top driver from an end-users perspective and device and app fragmentation will continue to grow in 2014.
  2. Hence Enterprise Mobility should be #1 focus for IT. This includes Mobile Device Management (MDM), Mobile Application Management (MAM) and Mobile Content Management (MCM) which leads into Enterprise Mobility Management (EMM).
  3. As the market for EMM continue to grow we will see more market consolidation in 2014. Citrix bought Zenprise in 2012, IBM bought Fiberlink (MaaS360) 2013 and I guess there is more to come in 2014.
  4. Mobility is a driver for Desktop Virtualization, because of the installed base of Microsoft applications within the enterprise. So I believe there will be further releases for VMware Horizon (View, Thinapp, Mirage), Citrix XenDesktop and Microsoft (Server 2012 R2, MDOP etc.) to fulfill the need to bring business critical software to mobile smart devices.
  5. 2014 might be the marketing hype year for DaaS (Desktop as a Service). After the acquisition of Desktone from VMware in 2013, Amazon offered their own service AWS Workspace. There are plenty of different services like tuCloud even smaller ones in Germany Tocario. Citrix still lacks an own hosting, but bets on their partner ecosystem and blueprints for AWS – will see what happen in 2014 with them.
  6. The PC is no longer dominant, but I believe there might be a stop in the decrease of PC sales in 2014. I still believe in the value of rich clients, it is just postponed due to purchasing smart mobile devices and the misleading Microsoft strategy and Windows 8.x UX. Once this is solved we will see a constant growth in the PC market.
  7. As Enterprise Mobility and DaaS put high pressure to enterprise IT to become more transparent to their services. This might be a momentum for ITaaS (IT as a Service) and Workspace Aggregation which will include the shift to new cloud services like SaaS.

Overall I believe there won’t be a revolution in 2014, more an evolution of what’s already in use while improving existing technology to the next stage.

My 2cents for 2014. Additional or different thoughts? Please let me know via comments.

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#Amazon announced #DaaS with #WorkSpaces – a game changer for #VDI in 2014?

BOOM – what an announcement from Amazon today:

This is a real game changer for me. There is a lot going on and Amazon is now absolutely in the Desktop as a service market. Amazon offers 4 bundles:

  • Standard – 1 vCPU, 3.75 GiB of memory, and 50 GB of persistent user storage – $35 / user / month.
  • Standard Plus – 1 vCPU, 3.75 GiB of memory, and 50 GB of persistent user storage – $50 / user / month.
  • Performance – 2 vCPU, 7.5 GiB of memory, and 100 GB of persistent user storage – $60 / user / month.
  • Performance Plus – 2 vCPU, 7.5 GiB of memory, and 100 GB of persistent user storage – $70 / user / month.

A Virtual Private Cloud (VPC) is created as part of the setup process. The VPC can be connected to an on-premises network using a secure VPN connection to allow access to an existing Active Directory and other intranet resources. WorkSpaces run on Amazon EC2 instances hosted within the VPC.

Communication between EC2 and the client is managed by the PCoIP (PC-over-IP) protocol. The client connection must allow TCP and UDP connections on port 4172, along with TCP connections on port 443.

Persistent storage is backed up to Amazon S3 on a regular and frequent basis.

Amazon blog announcement and TCO comparison can be found here:

The bold statement here:

Total Cost of Ownership of 1000 users using a desktop computing service such as Amazon WorkSpaces can be less than half the cost of running and managing an equivalent VDI solution on an on-premises infrastructure.

It is only one month ago since VMware acquired the DaaS pioneer Desktone. So there is a lot of market offering and consolidation going on this year. 

What I don’t understand is the licensing issue with Microsoft about Office and Windows. I would really love to hear more about the agreement between those parties. Even with the rumors about Microsoft is going to enter the DaaS market with project Mohoro, todays announcement indicates more to come:

So these moves really put high pressure at Citrix and XenDesktop. Not even mentioned DaaS provider tuCloud at least. I believe there will be much more eruption in the DaaS market coming and 2014 might be the “hype” year of DaaS.

Exciting times. What do you think?

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Posted in Post-PC
about.me
Patrick Sauerwein

Patrick Sauerwein

Senior Product Manager | Certified Scrum Product Owner

I am grown up in an entrepreneur family environment with a Diploma in Business Administration. Currently I am working for an ISV as a Senior Product Manager and Product Owner of an agile team. Being experienced in Product Management, I have also covered areas like Product Marketing & Business Development. I am experienced in ITSM & Client Lifecycle Management since 2004. I had the chance to work in different industries like ISV, Financial, SMB, Enterprise & B2B trade.

My personal strenghts are Ideation, Learner, Achiever, Intellection & Empathy. I write about end-user computing, mobility, virtualization and cloud computing solutions - have a look at my Twitter profile and blog. I love to exchange thoughts, keen to learn more new "abstract" things - very analytical thinking. Skilled communicator and public speaker.

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